August 12, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +43 |
Nina Nunes overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cynthia Calvillo.
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 099 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Nina Nunes receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 133 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Cynthia Calvillo controlled the striking through superior volume (66 vs 47 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (48 vs 39). However, since Cynthia Calvillo lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Nina Nunes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:09 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 161 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Nina Nunes did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cynthia Calvillo on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 490 |
| Activity ELO | 1 110 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +24 |
Nina Nunes demonstrated extended layoff with 490 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Nina Nunes capitalized on this activity level, while Cynthia Calvillo's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Nina Nunes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cynthia Calvillo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cynthia Calvillo | Nina Nunes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.