June 16, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Walt Harris's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Walt Harris for the expected result. Had Cyril Asker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:44 | 1:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 012 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +92 |
Walt Harris earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 837 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -131 | +131 |
Walt Harris controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 2 total strikes, 21 vs 2 significant strikes, 51.2% vs 14.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Walt Harris capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 927 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Walt Harris landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 153 | 153 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +36 |
Walt Harris demonstrated solid activity levels with 153 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Walt Harris capitalized on this activity level, while Cyril Asker's 153-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Walt Harris extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cyril Asker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cyril Asker | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.