August 18, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Mario Bautista's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mario Bautista for the expected result. Had Da'Mon Blackshear pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Mario Bautista earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 90 | 79 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 174 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 108 | 102 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Da'Mon Blackshear controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (90 vs 79). However, since Da'Mon Blackshear lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mario Bautista's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:00 | 4:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Mario Bautista controlled Da'Mon Blackshear on the ground with 2 takedowns, 4:04 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 7 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 075 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
Mario Bautista demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mario Bautista capitalized on this activity level, while Da'Mon Blackshear's 7-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +31 |
Mario Bautista continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Da'Mon Blackshear's now at 0.
| Metric | Da'Mon Blackshear | Mario Bautista |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

