July 31, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Matthew Riddle's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matthew Riddle for the expected result. Had DaMarques Johnson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:29 | 4:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +99 |
Matthew Riddle gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Matthew Riddle dominated the striking exchanges with 75 vs 17 total strikes, 42 vs 9 significant strikes, 50.6% vs 33.3% accuracy. Matthew Riddle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 6:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 967 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Matthew Riddle dominated DaMarques Johnson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:43 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +41 |
Matthew Riddle demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matthew Riddle capitalized on this activity level, while DaMarques Johnson's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Matthew Riddle extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. DaMarques Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Matthew Riddle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

