January 21, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:22 | 3:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 128 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -29 |
DaMarques Johnson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 048 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Mike Guymon controlled the striking through superior accuracy (100.0% vs 50.0%). However, since Mike Guymon lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. DaMarques Johnson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 102 | 843 |
| ELO Change | +135 | -135 |
DaMarques Johnson dominated Mike Guymon on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:05 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 088 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
DaMarques Johnson demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, DaMarques Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Guymon's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
DaMarques Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Guymon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Guymon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.