August 3, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 997 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mike Swick's 4-fight experience advantage (13 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Swick for the expected result. Had DaMarques Johnson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 988 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 075 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +44 |
Mike Swick gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 000 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Mike Swick slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 46.3% vs 32.1% accuracy. Mike Swick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:23 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 952 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Mike Swick did not secure a significant ground advantage against DaMarques Johnson on the ground with 1 takedown, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 910 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +11 |
Mike Swick demonstrated extended layoff with 910 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mike Swick capitalized on this activity level, while DaMarques Johnson's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +15 |
Mike Swick started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. DaMarques Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | DaMarques Johnson | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 988 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

