July 15, 1999
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jeremy Horn's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Horn for the expected result. Had Daiju Takase pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:41 | 4:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +82 |
Jeremy Horn earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 826 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -174 | +174 |
Jeremy Horn dominated the striking exchanges with 51 vs 1 total strikes, 35 vs 0 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 0.0% accuracy. Jeremy Horn capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 938 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Jeremy Horn controlled Daiju Takase on the ground with 2:57 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Jeremy Horn demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Horn capitalized on this activity level, while Daiju Takase's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +26 |
Jeremy Horn extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daiju Takase is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daiju Takase | Jeremy Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.