September 3, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Marc-Andre Barriault's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marc-Andre Barriault for the expected result. Had Dalcha Lungiambula pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 029 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Marc-Andre Barriault earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 118 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 217 | 289 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 128 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 972 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Marc-Andre Barriault controlled the striking exchanges with 128 vs 87 total strikes, 118 vs 85 significant strikes. Marc-Andre Barriault capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:32 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 036 | 975 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Marc-Andre Barriault did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dalcha Lungiambula on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 227 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 995 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +41 |
Marc-Andre Barriault demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marc-Andre Barriault capitalized on this activity level, while Dalcha Lungiambula's 227-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Marc-Andre Barriault extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dalcha Lungiambula is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.