Damian Grabowski vs Derrick Lewis

February 5, 2016

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

965
(-35)
Damian Grabowski
Winner: Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:17

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Damian Grabowski-35
Derrick Lewis+40
1114
(+40)
Derrick Lewis

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -27Derrick Lewis: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Total UFC Fights17
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9731 078
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derrick Lewis for the expected result. Had Damian Grabowski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -19Derrick Lewis: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 056
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -21Derrick Lewis: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:172:17
Win Type ELO9791 242
ELO Change-21+46
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -106Derrick Lewis: +106

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Significant Strikes Landed114
Significant Strikes Attempted330
Total Strikes Landed115
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8941 160
ELO Change-106+106
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 1 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 33.3% accuracy. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -57Derrick Lewis: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:001:59
Ground Strikes Landed113
Ground ELO9431 109
ELO Change-57+57
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis controlled Damian Grabowski on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:59 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -14Derrick Lewis: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Days Since Last FightN/A127
Activity ELO9861 142
ELO Change-14+29
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Damian Grabowski's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -18Derrick Lewis: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9821 071
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Derrick Lewis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damian Grabowski is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Damian Grabowski: -19Derrick Lewis: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDamian GrabowskiDerrick Lewis
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 056
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.