February 5, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Derrick Lewis's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Derrick Lewis for the expected result. Had Damian Grabowski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:17 | 2:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 979 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +46 |
Derrick Lewis earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 894 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Derrick Lewis edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 1 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 33.3% accuracy. Derrick Lewis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 943 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Derrick Lewis controlled Damian Grabowski on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:59 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +29 |
Derrick Lewis demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Derrick Lewis capitalized on this activity level, while Damian Grabowski's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Derrick Lewis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damian Grabowski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damian Grabowski | Derrick Lewis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

