July 22, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Marc Diakiese's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marc Diakiese for the expected result. Had Damir Hadzovic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 092 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Marc Diakiese earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Marc Diakiese dominated the striking exchanges with 78 vs 20 total strikes, 13 vs 5 significant strikes, 40.6% vs 50.0% accuracy. Marc Diakiese capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 13:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 938 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Marc Diakiese dominated Damir Hadzovic on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 13:35 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 033 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +47 |
Marc Diakiese demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marc Diakiese capitalized on this activity level, while Damir Hadzovic's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Marc Diakiese extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damir Hadzovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.