May 27, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 008 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:07 | 0:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 066 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -41 |
Damir Hadzovic gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Marcin Held controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (62 vs 19 total strikes), significant strike advantage (31 vs 14). However, since Marcin Held lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Damir Hadzovic's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:22 | 7:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 005 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Damir Hadzovic landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 413 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Damir Hadzovic demonstrated extended layoff with 413 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Damir Hadzovic capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Held's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Damir Hadzovic started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Held is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Marcin Held |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.