March 13, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Renato Moicano's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Renato Moicano for the expected result. Had Damir Hadzovic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 992 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +72 |
Renato Moicano locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:44 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 071 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 991 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 288 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +21 |
Renato Moicano demonstrated standard activity with 267 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Damir Hadzovic's 288-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Renato Moicano started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damir Hadzovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 991 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

