Damir Hadzovic vs Renato Moicano

March 13, 2020

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1022
(-25)
Damir Hadzovic
Winner: Renato Moicano
Submission
Round 1 • 0:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Damir Hadzovic-25
Renato Moicano+31
1146
(+31)
Renato Moicano

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -20Renato Moicano: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Total UFC Fights79
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0251 196
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

Renato Moicano's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Renato Moicano for the expected result. Had Damir Hadzovic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -18Renato Moicano: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9921 074
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -34Renato Moicano: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:440:44
Win Type ELO1 0781 254
ELO Change-34+72
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What Happened

Renato Moicano locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:44 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -51Renato Moicano: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Significant Strikes Landed11
Significant Strikes Attempted52
Total Strikes Landed14
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0711 076
ELO Change-51+51
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What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -25Renato Moicano: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:25
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9911 261
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -16Renato Moicano: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Days Since Last Fight288267
Activity ELO1 0271 141
ELO Change-16+21
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano demonstrated standard activity with 267 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Damir Hadzovic's 288-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -17Renato Moicano: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0031 099
ELO Change-17+19
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What Happened

Renato Moicano started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damir Hadzovic is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Hadzovic: -19Renato Moicano: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir HadzovicRenato Moicano
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9911 066
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.