February 1, 2025
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 973 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:01 | 2:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +77 |
Terrance McKinney earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 930 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Terrance McKinney dominated the striking exchanges with 69 vs 4 total strikes, 54 vs 4 significant strikes, 78.3% vs 30.8% accuracy. Terrance McKinney capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 46 |
| Ground ELO | 908 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Terrance McKinney controlled Damir Hadzovic on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:00 of control time, 46 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 925 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
Terrance McKinney demonstrated standard activity with 267 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Terrance McKinney capitalized on this activity level, while Damir Hadzovic's 925-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Terrance McKinney started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damir Hadzovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damir Hadzovic | Terrance McKinney |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 972 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.