Damir Ismagulov vs Grant Dawson

June 30, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1090
(-18)
Damir Ismagulov
Winner: Grant Dawson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Damir Ismagulov-18
Grant Dawson+20
1279
(+20)
Grant Dawson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -20Grant Dawson: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Total UFC Fights79
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0791 256
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Grant Dawson for the expected result. Had Damir Ismagulov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -17Grant Dawson: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0551 153
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -17Grant Dawson: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1071 381
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -30Grant Dawson: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Significant Strikes Landed1330
Significant Strikes Attempted2857
Total Strikes Landed3584
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1371 312
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 35 total strikes, 30 vs 13 significant strikes. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -16Grant Dawson: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:0812:24
Ground Strikes Landed020
Ground ELO1 1011 544
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson dominated Damir Ismagulov on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 12:24 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -15Grant Dawson: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Days Since Last Fight196238
Activity ELO1 0951 227
ELO Change-15+19
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Damir Ismagulov's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -16Grant Dawson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0881 204
ELO Change-16+21
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damir Ismagulov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Damir Ismagulov: -17Grant Dawson: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDamir IsmagulovGrant Dawson
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0551 153
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.