June 17, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Damir Ismagulov's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Damir Ismagulov for the expected result. Had Guram Kutateladze pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Damir Ismagulov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 79 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 192 | 187 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 181 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Damir Ismagulov slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Damir Ismagulov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 217 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Damir Ismagulov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Guram Kutateladze on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 609 |
| Activity ELO | 1 130 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -15 |
Damir Ismagulov demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Damir Ismagulov capitalized on this activity level, while Guram Kutateladze's 609-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -17 |
Damir Ismagulov continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Guram Kutateladze's now at 0.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Guram Kutateladze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

