February 22, 2019
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Damir Ismagulov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 088 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Damir Ismagulov controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 38 total strikes, 64 vs 38 significant strikes, 42.7% vs 29.9% accuracy. Damir Ismagulov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 120 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -20 |
Damir Ismagulov demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Damir Ismagulov capitalized on this activity level, while Joel Alvarez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Damir Ismagulov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joel Alvarez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Joel Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.