August 30, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Damir Ismagulov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 188 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Damir Ismagulov controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 37 total strikes, 71 vs 36 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Damir Ismagulov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:16 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Damir Ismagulov landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Damir Ismagulov demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Damir Ismagulov capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Moises's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Damir Ismagulov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Moises is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damir Ismagulov | Thiago Moises |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.