November 16, 2024
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 45 |
| Experience Gap | -31 | 31 |
| Experience ELO | 1 065 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Jim Miller's 31-fight experience advantage (45 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Damon Jackson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Jim Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Damon Jackson controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (16 vs 10). However, since Damon Jackson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jim Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 120 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +13 |
Jim Miller demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Damon Jackson's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Damon Jackson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Damon Jackson | Jim Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

