January 13, 2023
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 018 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Dan Argueta earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Dan Argueta dominated the striking exchanges with 93 vs 15 total strikes, 47 vs 14 significant strikes, 55.3% vs 31.8% accuracy. Dan Argueta capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:14 | 1:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 071 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Dan Argueta dominated Nick Aguirre on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:14 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Dan Argueta demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dan Argueta capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Aguirre's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Dan Argueta started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Aguirre is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Argueta | Nick Aguirre |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.