July 26, 1997
UFC 14 Heavyweight Tournament Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 048 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +63 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Mark Kerr captured the UFC 14 Heavyweight Tournament Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:38 | 1:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 055 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +83 |
Mark Kerr earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Mark Kerr slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Mark Kerr capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 973 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -137 | +137 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +213 |
Mark Kerr demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Mark Kerr capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Bobish's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Mark Kerr extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Bobish is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Bobish | Mark Kerr |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.