July 7, 2006
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Frank Mir's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frank Mir for the expected result. Had Dan Christison pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Frank Mir earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 89 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 111 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 992 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Frank Mir edged the striking exchanges with 111 vs 84 total strikes, 53 vs 48 significant strikes. Frank Mir capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:12 | 7:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Frank Mir controlled Dan Christison on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:52 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 93 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +24 |
Frank Mir demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Frank Mir capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Christison's 93-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +18 |
Frank Mir started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Christison is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Christison | Frank Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.