Dan Cramer vs Matt Arroyo

January 30, 2009

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1029
(+29)
Dan Cramer
Winner: Dan Cramer
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Cramer+29
Matt Arroyo-29
968
(-29)
Matt Arroyo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +58Matt Arroyo: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 058894
ELO Change+58-58
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What Happened

Dan Cramer overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Arroyo.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +21Matt Arroyo: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021978
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +11Matt Arroyo: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0111 008
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dan Cramer receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +25Matt Arroyo: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Significant Strikes Landed2416
Significant Strikes Attempted6825
Total Strikes Landed38148
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 025952
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

Matt Arroyo controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (148 vs 38 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (16 vs 24), superior accuracy (64.0% vs 35.3%). However, since Matt Arroyo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dan Cramer's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +51Matt Arroyo: -51

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time10:532:25
Ground Strikes Landed2212
Ground ELO1 051977
ELO Change+51-51
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What Happened

Dan Cramer edged out Matt Arroyo on the ground with 0 takedowns, 10:53 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +21Matt Arroyo: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Days Since Last FightN/A225
Activity ELO1 021978
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Dan Cramer demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dan Cramer capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Arroyo's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +23Matt Arroyo: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023980
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Dan Cramer started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Arroyo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Cramer: +21Matt Arroyo: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan CramerMatt Arroyo
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021978
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.