March 26, 2010
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -11 | 11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 199 | 1 384 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Georges St-Pierre's 11-fight experience advantage (16 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Georges St-Pierre for the expected result. Had Dan Hardy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 418 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +19 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Georges St-Pierre captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 1 636 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Georges St-Pierre earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 174 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 268 | 1 728 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated the striking exchanges with 174 vs 42 total strikes, 59 vs 4 significant strikes, 74.7% vs 14.8% accuracy. Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:37 | 20:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 49 |
| Ground ELO | 1 212 | 1 771 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Georges St-Pierre dominated Dan Hardy on the ground with 11 vs 0 takedowns, 20:34 of control time, 49 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 186 | 1 458 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +10 |
Georges St-Pierre demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Georges St-Pierre capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Hardy's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 115 | 1 366 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +27 |
Georges St-Pierre continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Dan Hardy's now at 0.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Georges St-Pierre |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.