November 13, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 218 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -36 |
Dan Hardy overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Swick.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 094 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 223 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Dan Hardy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 280 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Dan Hardy controlled the striking exchanges with 107 vs 75 total strikes, 55 vs 38 significant strikes, 49.1% vs 38.8% accuracy. Dan Hardy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:59 | 2:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 214 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Dan Hardy controlled Mike Swick on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:59 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 194 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -29 |
Dan Hardy demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Hardy capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Swick's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -27 |
Dan Hardy extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Swick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hardy | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.