October 7, 2016
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 27 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 131 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Michael Bisping's 9-fight experience advantage (27 vs 18 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Bisping for the expected result. Had Dan Henderson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +38 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Michael Bisping captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 396 | 1 589 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Michael Bisping earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 81 | 119 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 220 | 335 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 313 | 1 602 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Michael Bisping controlled the striking exchanges with 130 vs 87 total strikes, 119 vs 81 significant strikes. Michael Bisping capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:43 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 033 | 1 286 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Michael Bisping did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dan Henderson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 259 | 1 457 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +24 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Henderson's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 085 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +23 |
Michael Bisping continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Dan Henderson's now at 0.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.