September 7, 2007
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +54 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Quinton Jackson captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 039 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Quinton Jackson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 60 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 185 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Quinton Jackson dominated the striking exchanges with 185 vs 94 total strikes, 74 vs 60 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Quinton Jackson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:08 | 9:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 1 098 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Quinton Jackson edged out Dan Henderson on the ground with 2 takedowns, 9:40 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 3 404 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +70 |
Quinton Jackson demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Quinton Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Henderson's 3404-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Quinton Jackson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Henderson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Quinton Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.