June 5, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 141 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -32 |
Dan Henderson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Boetsch.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 091 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:28 | 0:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 376 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -38 |
Dan Henderson secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:28 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 276 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +152 | -152 |
Dan Henderson controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 3 significant strikes, 80.0% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dan Henderson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Dan Henderson landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 269 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Dan Henderson demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Henderson capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Boetsch's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Dan Henderson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Boetsch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Henderson | Tim Boetsch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.