Dan Hooker vs Edson Barboza

December 14, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1169
(-37)
Dan Hooker
Winner: Edson Barboza
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:19

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Hooker-37
Edson Barboza+42
1255
(+42)
Edson Barboza

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -30Edson Barboza: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Total UFC Fights1120
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 1591 231
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza's 9-fight experience advantage (20 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edson Barboza for the expected result. Had Dan Hooker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -19Edson Barboza: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0661 134
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -46Edson Barboza: +93

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:192:19
Win Type ELO1 3581 461
ELO Change-46+93
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -117Edson Barboza: +117

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Significant Strikes Landed81126
Significant Strikes Attempted204226
Total Strikes Landed111127
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2601 395
ELO Change-117+117
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza controlled the striking exchanges with 126 vs 81 significant strikes, 55.8% vs 39.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edson Barboza capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -24Edson Barboza: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:051:43
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1381 194
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dan Hooker on the ground with 1:43 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -17Edson Barboza: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Days Since Last Fight162239
Activity ELO1 2091 316
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Edson Barboza capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Hooker's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -18Edson Barboza: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0991 182
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Edson Barboza started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Hooker is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Hooker: -19Edson Barboza: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan HookerEdson Barboza
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0661 130
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.