July 6, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 189 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 404 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -30 |
Dan Hooker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 377 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -97 |
Dan Hooker dominated the striking exchanges with 22 vs 13 significant strikes, 64.7% vs 46.4% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Dan Hooker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 162 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 226 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -18 |
Dan Hooker demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Dan Hooker capitalized on this activity level, while Gilbert Burns's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -21 |
Dan Hooker extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gilbert Burns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Gilbert Burns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

