October 29, 2021
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 107 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +23 |
Islam Makhachev overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dan Hooker.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 089 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:25 | 2:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 363 | 1 520 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +61 |
Islam Makhachev earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 258 | 1 406 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Dan Hooker controlled the striking through superior accuracy (30.8% vs 66.7%). However, since Dan Hooker lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Islam Makhachev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 226 | 1 572 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Islam Makhachev controlled Dan Hooker on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:48 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 35 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 289 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +61 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Hooker's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 9 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 141 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +53 |
Islam Makhachev continued building serious momentum with a 9-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Dan Hooker's now at 0.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

