July 7, 2023
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 161 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Dan Hooker's 11-fight experience advantage (21 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Hooker for the expected result. Had Jalin Turner pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 400 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dan Hooker receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 125 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 197 | 177 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 172 | 113 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 349 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Dan Hooker dominated the striking exchanges with 172 vs 113 total strikes, 125 vs 100 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dan Hooker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:09 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 301 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Dan Hooker landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 294 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Dan Hooker demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dan Hooker capitalized on this activity level, while Jalin Turner's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 172 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Dan Hooker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jalin Turner is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Jalin Turner |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 111 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

