December 29, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Dan Hooker's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Hooker for the expected result. Had Marc Diakiese pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:42 | 0:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 239 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -46 |
Dan Hooker earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 0:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marc Diakiese was submitted.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 191 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Marc Diakiese controlled the striking through superior volume (41 vs 24 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (24 vs 17). However, since Marc Diakiese lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dan Hooker's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:12 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Dan Hooker controlled Marc Diakiese on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:12 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 177 |
| Activity ELO | 1 088 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Dan Hooker demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dan Hooker capitalized on this activity level, while Marc Diakiese's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Dan Hooker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marc Diakiese is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Marc Diakiese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.