August 16, 2024
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 209 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Dan Hooker's 12-fight experience advantage (22 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Hooker for the expected result. Had Mateusz Gamrot pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 134 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 414 | 1 496 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dan Hooker receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 370 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Mateusz Gamrot lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Dan Hooker's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:28 | 4:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 332 | 1 448 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Dan Hooker did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mateusz Gamrot on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:28 of control time, 17 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 406 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 313 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Dan Hooker demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Dan Hooker capitalized on this activity level, while Mateusz Gamrot's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 201 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -22 |
Dan Hooker extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mateusz Gamrot is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 133 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

