January 22, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 091 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -151 | +151 |
Michael Chandler overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dan Hooker.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:30 | 2:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 377 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +176 |
Michael Chandler earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 224 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -192 | +192 |
Michael Chandler controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 8 significant strikes, 70.8% vs 42.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Michael Chandler capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 186 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Michael Chandler landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 302 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Michael Chandler demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Michael Chandler capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Hooker's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 136 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +33 |
Michael Chandler started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Hooker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Michael Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 087 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.