September 24, 2021
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 123 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Dan Hooker's 9-fight experience advantage (17 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Hooker for the expected result. Had Nasrat Haqparast pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 107 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 398 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Dan Hooker earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 153 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 177 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 272 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Dan Hooker dominated the striking exchanges with 177 vs 35 total strikes, 73 vs 27 significant strikes, 47.7% vs 39.1% accuracy. Dan Hooker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:04 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 244 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Dan Hooker dominated Nasrat Haqparast on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:04 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 314 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -10 |
Dan Hooker demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dan Hooker capitalized on this activity level, while Nasrat Haqparast's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 155 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Dan Hooker started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nasrat Haqparast is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

