February 21, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 269 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 132 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 489 | 1 413 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dan Hooker receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 122 | 110 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 221 | 230 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 133 | 119 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 437 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Dan Hooker edged the striking exchanges with 122 vs 110 significant strikes. Dan Hooker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:05 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 301 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Dan Hooker edged out Paul Felder on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:05 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 359 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Dan Hooker demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Hooker capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Felder's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 181 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Dan Hooker extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Felder is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Hooker | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 132 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.