March 12, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 226 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Dan Ige's 3-fight experience advantage (9 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Ige for the expected result. Had Gavin Tucker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 103 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:22 | 0:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 321 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -38 |
Dan Ige secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:22 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 313 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 239 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 242 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 229 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Dan Ige demonstrated standard activity with 242 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Dan Ige capitalized on this activity level, while Gavin Tucker's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 169 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Dan Ige started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gavin Tucker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Gavin Tucker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

