June 21, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 111 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Dan Ige's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Ige for the expected result. Had Kevin Aguilar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 211 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Dan Ige earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 125 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 247 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Dan Ige controlled the striking exchanges with 92 vs 65 total strikes, 71 vs 33 significant strikes, 56.8% vs 31.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dan Ige capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:07 | 2:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 226 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Dan Ige edged out Kevin Aguilar on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:07 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 147 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -20 |
Dan Ige demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Ige capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Aguilar's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -21 |
Dan Ige extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Aguilar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Ige | Kevin Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.