October 13, 2006
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Spencer Fisher's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Dan Lauzon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:38 | 4:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +56 |
Spencer Fisher earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 933 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Spencer Fisher controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 8 significant strikes, 76.5% vs 32.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:39 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Spencer Fisher landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +31 |
Spencer Fisher demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Lauzon's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Spencer Fisher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Lauzon | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

