Dan Lauzon vs Spencer Fisher

October 13, 2006

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Dan Lauzon
Winner: Spencer Fisher
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Lauzon-26
Spencer Fisher+32
1100
(+32)
Spencer Fisher

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -31Spencer Fisher: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9691 037
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Dan Lauzon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -19Spencer Fisher: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -26Spencer Fisher: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:384:38
Win Type ELO9741 195
ELO Change-26+56
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -67Spencer Fisher: +67

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Significant Strikes Landed813
Significant Strikes Attempted2517
Total Strikes Landed1328
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9331 190
ELO Change-67+67
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 8 significant strikes, 76.5% vs 32.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -17Spencer Fisher: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time3:390:11
Ground Strikes Landed73
Ground ELO9831 078
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -15Spencer Fisher: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Days Since Last FightN/A140
Activity ELO9851 128
ELO Change-15+31
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Lauzon's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -18Spencer Fisher: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9821 065
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Lauzon: -19Spencer Fisher: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan LauzonSpencer Fisher
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.