Dan Miller vs Demian Maia

February 5, 2010

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1043
(-20)
Dan Miller
Winner: Demian Maia
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Miller-20
Demian Maia+22
1199
(+22)
Demian Maia

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -25Demian Maia: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Total UFC Fights57
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0541 180
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Demian Maia for the expected result. Had Dan Miller pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -18Demian Maia: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0161 097
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -22Demian Maia: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0921 316
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -25Demian Maia: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Significant Strikes Landed2030
Significant Strikes Attempted9577
Total Strikes Landed2567
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0071 191
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 25 total strikes, 30 vs 20 significant strikes, 39.0% vs 21.1% accuracy. Demian Maia capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -16Demian Maia: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted07
Ground Control Time0:115:16
Ground Strikes Landed32
Ground ELO1 0221 363
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia controlled Dan Miller on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:16 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -17Demian Maia: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Days Since Last Fight260162
Activity ELO1 1081 218
ELO Change-17+30
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Demian Maia capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Miller's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -17Demian Maia: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0281 131
ELO Change-17+19
💡

What Happened

Demian Maia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Miller is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: -18Demian Maia: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerDemian Maia
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0161 096
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.