Dan Miller vs Jake Rosholt

February 6, 2009

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1113
(+26)
Dan Miller
Winner: Dan Miller
Submission
Round 1 • 1:03

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Miller+26
Jake Rosholt-20
980
(-20)
Jake Rosholt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +23Jake Rosholt: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 124977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Dan Miller's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Miller for the expected result. Had Jake Rosholt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +18Jake Rosholt: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 060982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +52Jake Rosholt: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:031:03
Win Type ELO1 177972
ELO Change+52-28
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What Happened

Dan Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +16Jake Rosholt: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Significant Strikes Landed22
Significant Strikes Attempted64
Total Strikes Landed45
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 105984
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

Jake Rosholt controlled the striking through superior accuracy (50.0% vs 33.3%). However, since Jake Rosholt lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dan Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +27Jake Rosholt: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:220:26
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO1 154973
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Dan Miller edged out Jake Rosholt on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:22 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +35Jake Rosholt: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Days Since Last Fight106N/A
Activity ELO1 155986
ELO Change+35-14
💡

What Happened

Dan Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Rosholt's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +24Jake Rosholt: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 072982
ELO Change+24-18
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What Happened

Dan Miller extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Rosholt is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +18Jake Rosholt: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJake Rosholt
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.