December 10, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 146 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dan Miller receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 135 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 810 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Joe Doerksen controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (12 vs 18). However, since Joe Doerksen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dan Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:55 | 1:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 865 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Dan Miller dominated Joe Doerksen on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:55 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 170 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -11 |
Dan Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Doerksen's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -16 |
Dan Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Doerksen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.