August 27, 2010
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 060 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Dan Miller's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Miller for the expected result. Had John Salter pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:53 | 1:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 139 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -46 |
Dan Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:53, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. John Salter was submitted.
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 012 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since John Salter lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Dan Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 1:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 046 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Dan Miller edged out John Salter on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 142 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -19 |
Dan Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Miller capitalized on this activity level, while John Salter's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Dan Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Salter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Miller | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

