Dan Miller vs John Salter

August 27, 2010

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1059
(+34)
Dan Miller
Winner: Dan Miller
Submission
Round 2 • 1:53

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Miller+34
John Salter-27
994
(-27)
John Salter

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +32John Salter: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Total UFC Fights73
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 0601 005
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Dan Miller's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Miller for the expected result. Had John Salter pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +21John Salter: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020981
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +71John Salter: -46

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:531:53
Win Type ELO1 1391 052
ELO Change+71-46
💡

What Happened

Dan Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:53, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. John Salter was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +22John Salter: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Significant Strikes Landed2321
Significant Strikes Attempted7452
Total Strikes Landed2329
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 012962
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since John Salter lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Dan Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +39John Salter: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:081:39
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 046941
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Dan Miller edged out John Salter on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +48John Salter: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Days Since Last Fight91112
Activity ELO1 1421 043
ELO Change+48-19
💡

What Happened

Dan Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dan Miller capitalized on this activity level, while John Salter's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +23John Salter: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 035984
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Dan Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Salter is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +21John Salter: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerJohn Salter
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020981
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.