Dan Miller vs Matt Horwich

October 24, 2008

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1087
(+41)
Dan Miller
Winner: Dan Miller
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Miller+41
Matt Horwich-31
969
(-31)
Matt Horwich

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +25Matt Horwich: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 101975
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +20Matt Horwich: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 042980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +31Matt Horwich: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 125969
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Dan Miller earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +36Matt Horwich: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Significant Strikes Landed3115
Significant Strikes Attempted4924
Total Strikes Landed14262
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 089964
ELO Change+36-36
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What Happened

Dan Miller dominated the striking exchanges with 142 vs 62 total strikes, 31 vs 15 significant strikes. Dan Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +74Matt Horwich: -74

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted70
Ground Control Time10:273:42
Ground Strikes Landed197
Ground ELO1 127926
ELO Change+74-74
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What Happened

Dan Miller dominated Matt Horwich on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:27 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +98Matt Horwich: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Days Since Last Fight38N/A
Activity ELO1 120980
ELO Change+98-20
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What Happened

Dan Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 38 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Dan Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Horwich's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +23Matt Horwich: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 048981
ELO Change+23-19
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What Happened

Dan Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Horwich is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Miller: +20Matt Horwich: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MillerMatt Horwich
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 042980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.