May 28, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Michael Bisping's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Bisping for the expected result. Had Dan Miller pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Michael Bisping earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 225 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 990 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Michael Bisping controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 56 total strikes, 76 vs 50 significant strikes, 33.8% vs 23.7% accuracy. Michael Bisping capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 007 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Michael Bisping did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dan Miller on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +36 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Miller's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Michael Bisping started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

