June 21, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 876 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Dan Miller's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Miller for the expected result. Had Ricardo Funch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:12 | 3:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 137 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Dan Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ricardo Funch was submitted.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 107 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 987 | 789 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Ricardo Funch controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (72 vs 57). However, since Ricardo Funch lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Dan Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:18 | 6:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 1 028 | 774 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Dan Miller edged out Ricardo Funch on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:18 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 300 | 160 |
| Activity ELO | 1 142 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Dan Miller demonstrated standard activity with 300 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Dan Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Ricardo Funch's 160-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Dan Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricardo Funch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Ricardo Funch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

