September 16, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 094 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -49 |
Dan Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Dan Miller slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Dan Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:02 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Dan Miller edged out Rob Kimmons on the ground with 1:02 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 88 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Dan Miller demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dan Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Rob Kimmons's 88-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Dan Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob Kimmons is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Miller | Rob Kimmons |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.