Dan Moret vs Gilbert Burns

April 13, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(-27)
Dan Moret
Winner: Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:59

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dan Moret-27
Gilbert Burns+30
1136
(+30)
Gilbert Burns

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -24Gilbert Burns: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Total UFC Fights18
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO9761 103
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gilbert Burns for the expected result. Had Dan Moret pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -18Gilbert Burns: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 072
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -21Gilbert Burns: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:590:59
Win Type ELO9791 234
ELO Change-21+43
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -65Gilbert Burns: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Significant Strikes Landed2031
Significant Strikes Attempted5865
Total Strikes Landed2039
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9351 190
ELO Change-65+65
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns controlled the striking exchanges with 31 vs 20 significant strikes, 47.7% vs 34.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gilbert Burns capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -36Gilbert Burns: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:001:24
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO9641 213
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -15Gilbert Burns: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Days Since Last FightN/A210
Activity ELO9851 119
ELO Change-15+19
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gilbert Burns capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Moret's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -17Gilbert Burns: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9831 088
ELO Change-17+20
💡

What Happened

Gilbert Burns extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Moret is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dan Moret: -18Gilbert Burns: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDan MoretGilbert Burns
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 072
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.