June 28, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 918 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Jared Gordon's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jared Gordon for the expected result. Had Dan Moret pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 941 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 914 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Jared Gordon earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 171 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 872 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jared Gordon dominated the striking exchanges with 171 vs 37 total strikes, 48 vs 34 significant strikes, 60.8% vs 46.6% accuracy. Jared Gordon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:10 | 9:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 23 |
| Ground ELO | 864 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Jared Gordon dominated Dan Moret on the ground with 2 takedowns, 9:44 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 947 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Jared Gordon demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jared Gordon capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Moret's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 943 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Jared Gordon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Moret is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Moret | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 941 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

