December 15, 1995
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 138 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Dan Severn's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dan Severn for the expected result. Had David Abbott pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 134 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 18:00 | 18:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 333 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -38 |
Dan Severn earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 233 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 321 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -117 |
Dan Severn dominated the striking exchanges with 233 vs 11 total strikes, 57 vs 3 significant strikes, 87.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Dan Severn capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 52 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 323 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Dan Severn controlled David Abbott on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 52 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 554 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -9 |
Dan Severn demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dan Severn capitalized on this activity level, while David Abbott's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -18 |
Dan Severn extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. David Abbott is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dan Severn | David Abbott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 100 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.